Dollar Moves Higher, Trade And Data In Focus

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Dollar Moves Higher, Trade And Data In Focus

Gold prices moved higher on Friday, as sentiment on the greenback remained vulnerable ahead of highly-anticipated data on U.S. inflation due later in the day.

Comex gold futures were up $2.55 or about 0.20% at $1,299.05 a troy ounce by 03:15 a.m. ET (07:15 GMT), just off a two-and-a-half week high of $1,300.73 hit overnight.

The greenback was boosted after the U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that initial jobless claims fell more than expected to 243,000 last week.

A separate report showed that producer prices increased 0.4% in September, in line with expectations. Core producer prices, which exclude food and energy also rose 0.4%, beating expectations for a 0.2% uptick.

The data came a day after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting showed that policymakers remain divided on inflation.

Several policymakers believe additional tightening will depend on upcoming inflation data. However, most Fed members said they feel another rate increase this year “was likely to be warranted,” the report showed.

Dollar loses steam on trade deal hopes; U.S. jobs data in focus | Eurasia Diary –

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Dollar loses steam on trade deal hopes; U.S. jobs data in focus

The dollar fell on Friday before U.S. jobs data as U.S. President Donald Trump resumed efforts to resolve a damaging trade war with China.

The greenback sank to a seven-day low after Bloomberg reported that Trump was seeking a trade agreement with Chinese President Xi Jinping before a meeting in Argentina at the end of November.

A trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies has cast a pall over the global economy and boosted safe-haven demand for the greenback this year.

But currencies hurt by recent dollar buying including the euro, the Norwegian and Swedish crowns and Australian and New Zealand dollars all climbed higher.

Analysts said the start of November had seen a flood of end-of-month buying of dollars cease and a more positive mood for risk-taking pervade markets after a brutal month for stocks.

“Either Trump is paving the way for a trade deal later this month or he’s cynically driving up equity indices ahead of U.S. mid-term elections,” he added.

The dollar index .DXY, which measures the greenback’s value versus six peers, fell 0.3 percent to 95.989 after dropping nearly 0.9 percent overnight.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3, which is sensitive to Chinese economic developments, rose 0.6 percent to $0.7259.

The Aussie had jumped 1.8 percent on Thursday on increasing confidence U.S.-China ties were improving.

Both the euro EUR=EBS and the British pound GBP=D3 rose 0.3 percent against the dollar.

The pound jumped on Thursday after the Bank of England kept interest rates steady and hinted at slightly faster future rate rises if Brexit goes smoothly.

Market participants were awaiting the U.S. jobs report due at 1230 GMT for clues on the pace of further interest rate rises in the United States.

“The relatively cheap dollar, might attract buyers if the overall jobs report is robust,” said David Madden, a strategist at CMC Markets.

U.S. payroll figures are expected to have risen 190,000 in October, from a 134,000 increase in the previous month.

With investor risk sentiment improving, emerging market currencies made gains versus the dollar.

China’s yuan rose about 0.8 percent to a one-month high of 6.8524 in offshore trade CNH=D4.

Worries about Chinese economic growth and the trade row had pushed the offshore yuan to a 22-month trough of 6.9800 midweek.

Despite the dollar’s slide, some analysts were cautious about further falls given the headwinds for the global economy.

“With the combination of ongoing overhang of trade wars, the tightening Fed and the U.S. economy outperforming its G10 peers, we don’t expect such across-the-board EM FX rallies vs USD to be long-lasting,” ING analysts said in a note to clients.

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Dollar Moves Higher, Trade And Data In Focus

Follow XAUUSD Following XAUUSD Unfollow XAUUSD



Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. Price formed a Descending Broadening Wedge. If we have the decline continues we can initiate a long position, but only if there is a confirmed retracement of the Ichi Cloud. Also we can initiate a long position if there is breakout of the pattern. Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it’s been useful to.

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Premarket news

Wall Street is pointing lower on Tuesday as investors sort through earnings reports from the likes of Ford, Pfizer, Eli Lilly and U.S. Steel; Amazon reports after the close. Yahoo reported late Monday and beat expectations; VMware disappointed. The dollar’s steady as oil pushes mildly higher. And there’s a new movie out about Steve Jobs, co-founder of Apple, starring Ashton Kutcher.

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Futures Movers: Oil climbs back above $96 on Mideast tensions

March crude consolidateds above the $96-a-barrel mark, finding support as unrest in the Middle East region feeds supply concerns and as traders weigh the outlook for energy demand against a mixed backdrop for U.S. economic data.
Read the energy report


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